{
 "generated": "2026-09-05T12:40:01.701803+00:00",
 "licence": "CC BY 4.0 - free to use with attribution to https://mallusports.pro",
 "source": "https://mallusports.pro/data/",
 "method": "Poisson goal model compared against live bookmaker odds. A pick is published only where the model probability exceeds the market's implied probability with the bookmaker margin removed. Flat 1-unit staking assumed for ROI. Void picks excluded.",
 "overall": {
  "settled": 80,
  "won": 46,
  "lost": 34,
  "hit_rate": 57.5,
  "avg_odds": 2.01,
  "roi_pct": 8.7
 },
 "by_league": {
  "Bundesliga": {
   "settled": 6,
   "won": 6,
   "lost": 0,
   "hit_rate": 100.0,
   "avg_odds": 2.04,
   "roi_pct": 104.2
  },
  "Coppa Italia": {
   "settled": 5,
   "won": 2,
   "lost": 3,
   "hit_rate": 40.0,
   "avg_odds": 2.24,
   "roi_pct": -35.0
  },
  "DFB Pokal": {
   "settled": 0,
   "won": 0,
   "lost": 0,
   "hit_rate": null,
   "avg_odds": null,
   "roi_pct": null
  },
  "DFB-Pokal": {
   "settled": 0,
   "won": 0,
   "lost": 0,
   "hit_rate": null,
   "avg_odds": null,
   "roi_pct": null
  },
  "Egyptian Premier League": {
   "settled": 0,
   "won": 0,
   "lost": 0,
   "hit_rate": null,
   "avg_odds": null,
   "roi_pct": null
  },
  "Eredivisie": {
   "settled": 0,
   "won": 0,
   "lost": 0,
   "hit_rate": null,
   "avg_odds": null,
   "roi_pct": null
  },
  "J1 League": {
   "settled": 0,
   "won": 0,
   "lost": 0,
   "hit_rate": null,
   "avg_odds": null,
   "roi_pct": null
  },
  "La Liga": {
   "settled": 24,
   "won": 14,
   "lost": 10,
   "hit_rate": 58.3,
   "avg_odds": 2.05,
   "roi_pct": 16.4
  },
  "Ligue 1": {
   "settled": 8,
   "won": 6,
   "lost": 2,
   "hit_rate": 75.0,
   "avg_odds": 1.79,
   "roi_pct": 20.8
  },
  "Premier League": {
   "settled": 21,
   "won": 10,
   "lost": 11,
   "hit_rate": 47.6,
   "avg_odds": 2.03,
   "roi_pct": -5.7
  },
  "Primeira Liga": {
   "settled": 0,
   "won": 0,
   "lost": 0,
   "hit_rate": null,
   "avg_odds": null,
   "roi_pct": null
  },
  "Serie A": {
   "settled": 16,
   "won": 8,
   "lost": 8,
   "hit_rate": 50.0,
   "avg_odds": 1.95,
   "roi_pct": -12.0
  },
  "UWCL Qual": {
   "settled": 0,
   "won": 0,
   "lost": 0,
   "hit_rate": null,
   "avg_odds": null,
   "roi_pct": null
  }
 },
 "by_market": {
  "Asian Handicap": {
   "settled": 8,
   "won": 5,
   "lost": 3,
   "hit_rate": 62.5,
   "avg_odds": 2.58,
   "roi_pct": 56.2
  },
  "Both Teams to Score": {
   "settled": 9,
   "won": 4,
   "lost": 5,
   "hit_rate": 44.4,
   "avg_odds": 2.29,
   "roi_pct": 10.6
  },
  "Correct Score": {
   "settled": 2,
   "won": 1,
   "lost": 1,
   "hit_rate": 50.0,
   "avg_odds": 3.3,
   "roi_pct": 65.0
  },
  "Double Chance": {
   "settled": 4,
   "won": 2,
   "lost": 2,
   "hit_rate": 50.0,
   "avg_odds": 1.37,
   "roi_pct": -35.5
  },
  "Draw No Bet": {
   "settled": 7,
   "won": 7,
   "lost": 0,
   "hit_rate": 100.0,
   "avg_odds": 1.65,
   "roi_pct": 65.0
  },
  "Match Result": {
   "settled": 13,
   "won": 5,
   "lost": 8,
   "hit_rate": 38.5,
   "avg_odds": 2.33,
   "roi_pct": -20.4
  },
  "Over 1.5 Goals": {
   "settled": 14,
   "won": 10,
   "lost": 4,
   "hit_rate": 71.4,
   "avg_odds": 1.43,
   "roi_pct": 1.3
  },
  "Over 2.5 Goals": {
   "settled": 11,
   "won": 3,
   "lost": 8,
   "hit_rate": 27.3,
   "avg_odds": 2.17,
   "roi_pct": -37.3
  },
  "Over 3.5 Goals": {
   "settled": 1,
   "won": 1,
   "lost": 0,
   "hit_rate": 100.0,
   "avg_odds": 3.0,
   "roi_pct": 200.0
  },
  "Udinese to Qualify": {
   "settled": 1,
   "won": 1,
   "lost": 0,
   "hit_rate": 100.0,
   "avg_odds": 1.8,
   "roi_pct": 80.0
  },
  "Under 2.5 Goals": {
   "settled": 3,
   "won": 0,
   "lost": 3,
   "hit_rate": 0.0,
   "avg_odds": 2.07,
   "roi_pct": -100.0
  },
  "Under 3.5 Goals": {
   "settled": 3,
   "won": 3,
   "lost": 0,
   "hit_rate": 100.0,
   "avg_odds": 1.53,
   "roi_pct": 53.3
  },
  "Under 4.5 Goals": {
   "settled": 4,
   "won": 4,
   "lost": 0,
   "hit_rate": 100.0,
   "avg_odds": 1.56,
   "roi_pct": 56.5
  }
 },
 "by_confidence": {
  "high": {
   "settled": 25,
   "won": 13,
   "lost": 12,
   "hit_rate": 52.0,
   "avg_odds": 2.73,
   "roi_pct": 40.0
  },
  "low": {
   "settled": 29,
   "won": 23,
   "lost": 6,
   "hit_rate": 79.3,
   "avg_odds": 1.43,
   "roi_pct": 13.2
  },
  "mid": {
   "settled": 26,
   "won": 10,
   "lost": 16,
   "hit_rate": 38.5,
   "avg_odds": 1.96,
   "roi_pct": -26.3
  }
 }
}