How top-batsman prices are built, why openers dominate, and the trap of backing a famous middle-order name.
Top batsman markets pay on the highest scorer in an innings for one team. The dominant variable is not talent, it is batting position, because openers face the most deliveries and therefore have the most opportunity to accumulate.
This is why a moderately rated opener frequently prices better than a famous number five. The middle-order player may be the better batsman and still have far fewer balls available, particularly in a successful chase that ends before they are established.
The secondary factor is match situation. A team batting first gives its middle order a guaranteed innings; a team chasing a small total may never use them at all. Backing a number six in a side heavily favoured to chase down a modest score is a structural mistake, however good the player is.
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